Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 980.227301 1104.699638 1240.647048 1400.430520 1583.443082 1786.923083 2030.864019
2025-12-28 807.845691 981.428012 1187.458705 1451.303180 1782.017238 2185.180881 2717.456566
2026-01-04 701.422974 895.903402 1140.006240 1471.444177 1913.637084 2488.741845 3302.255663
2026-01-11 622.267615 827.213586 1096.249780 1479.304292 2017.207376 2755.384163 3861.937773
2026-01-18 560.876509 771.351338 1058.421289 1484.211536 2109.330550 3008.590990 4427.849476
2026-01-25 521.290210 739.202720 1046.895822 1520.635791 2245.230403 3334.218961 5137.997594
2026-02-01 485.816171 708.084492 1031.872948 1547.565325 2366.409532 3647.671808 5867.486629
2026-02-08 452.781683 676.565340 1011.938778 1562.896936 2468.439986 3939.400317 6597.460082
2026-02-15 424.622892 649.293312 994.991646 1579.620554 2572.221407 4242.842460 7385.705990
2026-02-22 402.939357 629.784406 987.708358 1610.069794 2700.344580 4599.665728 8316.354280
2026-03-01 369.962899 589.141276 942.473370 1571.696372 2704.219091 4737.105256 8854.833028
2026-03-08 338.442995 548.207193 893.068001 1520.828175 2679.299834 4817.387980 9290.204191
2026-03-15 308.944084 508.830130 843.835901 1466.972113 2645.680151 4882.096127 9714.156891
2026-03-22 299.605262 503.092986 851.866985 1517.226086 2812.930824 5353.083890 11056.772325
2026-03-29 286.491263 489.596043 844.886766 1538.530562 2925.901634 5729.294398 12253.905192
2026-04-05 272.617128 473.579663 831.890119 1546.784476 3013.181943 6062.561000 13407.184573
2026-04-12 259.516943 457.907449 818.126624 1551.941708 3094.152236 6391.566269 14603.454198
2026-04-19 251.777330 451.478806 820.986794 1590.222572 3248.499470 6899.315645 16319.057108
2026-04-26 243.311431 443.001372 819.151078 1618.528080 3384.155851 7382.099828 18057.064844
2026-05-03 234.008846 432.209505 811.888000 1634.644307 3494.310142 7819.647459 19755.353748
2026-05-10 225.515345 422.356066 805.654514 1652.224795 3609.519156 8283.955477 21611.614201
2026-05-17 219.079651 416.085059 806.089807 1684.236855 3761.791065 8859.354400 23890.394778
2026-05-24 205.868854 395.316746 775.265242 1643.894469 3736.766883 8983.667391 24877.634539